Bitcoin’s value fell to $109,000 Wednesday afternoon after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled that further charge cuts might not observe in December. Since then, Bitcoin value has leveled close to $111,000.
The drop got here shortly after the central financial institution decreased its benchmark rate of interest by 0.25 proportion factors to a goal vary of three.75%–4%.
The lower — the Fed’s second of 2025 after a transfer in September — ended an extended stretch of charge holds. The coverage shift is meant to decrease borrowing prices and help financial exercise. However Powell’s feedback that additional cuts are usually not assured this yr sparked promoting throughout danger belongings.
Earlier than the announcement, Bitcoin traded close to $116,000 on Monday and briefly dipped under $111,000 early Tuesday. The worth briefly bounced on the information earlier than sliding once more as Powell spoke. Bitcoin is at the moment buying and selling close to $111,200, in response to Bitcoin Journal Professional information.
Throughout the press convention, as Jerome Powell mentioned that December’s charge cuts aren’t assured, Bitcoin’s value instantly reacted — plunging to $109,000 in a pointy pink candle earlier than shortly recovering. The broader crypto market reacted equally.
Powell mentioned that inflation excluding the impression of tariffs is “not up to now” from the central financial institution’s 2% goal, however emphasised that policymakers have “not decided about December.” Powell famous that officers held “strongly differing views” throughout right this moment’s assembly.
Following his remarks, markets sharply trimmed expectations for one more charge lower this yr. Fed funds futures now value a 71% probability of a December lower, down from about 90% earlier within the day, in response to CME information and on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.
The 2-year Treasury yield jumped 9 foundation factors as merchants reassessed the Fed’s near-term trajectory.
Traditionally, Bitcoin has reacted sharply to monetary-policy adjustments. After the Fed’s emergency cuts in March 2020, Bitcoin plunged practically 39% earlier than recovering. When the Fed lower in September 2025, market response was restricted — suggesting expectations had been already priced in.
Bitcoin value as Fed indicators finish of Quantitative Tightening
Powell additionally mentioned the central financial institution is approaching the tip of its Quantitative Tightening program, confirming the Fed expects to cease QT by December. This entails letting some holdings of Treasuries and mortgage securities run off the stability sheet as they mature, slightly than reinvesting the principal.
QT reduces liquidity by shrinking the Fed’s stability sheet by way of permitting authorities bonds to mature with out reinvestment or by promoting them into the market.
The method has been underway since 2022, eradicating practically $1 trillion in securities as a part of efforts to struggle inflation.
Ending QT would cease that drain on liquidity — a shift many analysts consider might finally help flows into danger belongings, together with Bitcoin.
Powell warned, nevertheless, that coverage will stay depending on financial information, including additional uncertainty to market expectations.
