Historic information means that bitcoin has doubtless put in its September 2025 low, round $107,000 on the primary of the month.
Trying again to July 2024, a constant sample emerges the place bitcoin tends to type a backside for the month throughout the first 10 days of every month.
The notable exceptions have been February, June and August 2025, when the lows got here later within the month, however even then, the market skilled a correction inside these first 10 days earlier than resuming its broader development.
Speculatively, the explanation bitcoin typically places in its low throughout the first 10 days of the month could possibly be tied to institutional portfolio rebalancing or the timing of key macroeconomic occasions that are inclined to cluster early within the month.
“It’s price noting that a number of futures and choices markets expire on the ultimate day of the month or the primary day of the subsequent, this will result in brief time period volatility and a subsequent lull in buying and selling exercise as merchants both rollover trades or reposition totally,” stated Oliver Knight, deputy managing editor, information and tokens, at CoinDesk.
After all, previous efficiency is just not a assure of future outcomes, however as This autumn approaches it’s price noting that this quarter has traditionally been bitcoin’s strongest, delivering a median return of 85%. October specifically has been particularly favorable, with solely two dropping months since 2013.
